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Post by elchapo2025 on Oct 22, 2024 2:04:16 GMT
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Post by elchapo2025 on Oct 22, 2024 2:05:48 GMT
Black people are slowly and finally having enough of the democratic party’s lies. No way her numbers are that low on Election Day... |
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Post by gmcarroll33 on Oct 22, 2024 2:10:59 GMT
Black people are slowly and finally having enough of the democratic party’s lies. No way her numbers are that low on Election Day... It will be give or take on those #s but the big take away is that no matter what the percentages work out to be she’s polling worse than any Dem we’ve seen in forever with black people. |
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Post by mikeman on Oct 22, 2024 2:18:44 GMT
Black people are slowly and finally having enough of the democratic party’s lies. No way her numbers are that low on Election Day... I would guess trump will get maybe 28% of black men, maybe 12-14% of women, we're looking at 20+ overall. |
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Post by mikeman on Oct 22, 2024 2:30:51 GMT
2 possible flips that no one is expecting.
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Post by elchapo2025 on Oct 22, 2024 2:38:28 GMT
No way her numbers are that low on Election Day... It will be give or take on those #s but the big take away is that no matter what the percentages work out to be she’s polling worse than any Dem we’ve seen in forever with black people. True... |
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Post by elchapo2025 on Oct 22, 2024 2:39:58 GMT
No way her numbers are that low on Election Day... I would guess trump will get maybe 28% of black men, maybe 12-14% of women, we're looking at 20+ overall. I seriously doubt that Trump will get 20%+ of the Black Vote... But, even 15% could tip scales in a close election... |
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Post by mikeman on Oct 22, 2024 2:40:57 GMT
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Post by elchapo2025 on Oct 22, 2024 2:41:19 GMT
2 possible flips that no one is expecting. Tralfalgar polls are a joke... They are notorious for oversampling Republicans... |
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Post by mikeman on Oct 22, 2024 2:51:23 GMT
Trump is hope.
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Post by mikeman on Oct 22, 2024 2:52:18 GMT
2 possible flips that no one is expecting. Tralfalgar polls are a joke... They are notorious for oversampling Republicans... Look at their polls from the last 2 elections and get back to me - they're top tier. |
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Post by elchapo2025 on Oct 22, 2024 2:59:31 GMT
Tralfalgar polls are a joke... They are notorious for oversampling Republicans... Look at their polls from the last 2 elections and get back to me - they're top tier. Trafalgar's polling numbers were considerably off in the 2022 United States midterm elections. Trafalgar's polls incorrectly suggested that Republican candidates such as Mehmet Oz, Herschel Walker, Kari Lake, Tudor Dixon, Adam Laxalt, Blake Masters, Christine Drazan, and Tim Michels would all win.Their polls also suggested that Republican candidates such as Don Bolduc, Lee Zeldin, Mark Ronchetti, Doug Mastriano, Scott Jensen, Heidi Ganahl, Joe O'Dea, and Tiffany Smiley, were within striking distance, but some lost in landslides. |
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Post by mikeman on Oct 22, 2024 3:03:20 GMT
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Post by mikeman on Oct 22, 2024 3:09:46 GMT
Look at their polls from the last 2 elections and get back to me - they're top tier. Trafalgar's polling numbers were considerably off in the 2022 United States midterm elections. Trafalgar's polls incorrectly suggested that Republican candidates such as Mehmet Oz, Herschel Walker, Kari Lake, Tudor Dixon, Adam Laxalt, Blake Masters, Christine Drazan, and Tim Michels would all win.Their polls also suggested that Republican candidates such as Don Bolduc, Lee Zeldin, Mark Ronchetti, Doug Mastriano, Scott Jensen, Heidi Ganahl, Joe O'Dea, and Tiffany Smiley, were within striking distance, but some lost in landslides. They showed close races, dont see them being actually on the wrong side too much.  After examining 2020 polls I noticed that Trafalgar out of all pollsters was the most accurate by quite a wide margin. I’m not sure if they’re hyper partisan or have odd polling methods but with their unique success in recent elections should they be taken more seriously? I’ve seen a lot of hate and controversy surrounding them. So will they continue their intriguing streak or be outed as a fraud? The reason I bring this up is because presidential polls with Trump on the ballot always seem to be off and Trafalgar despite being super far off in literally every other race (2022 midterms comes to mind) they somehow consistently predict Trump era Presidential races fairly accurately. Trafalgar Wisconsin Oct. 2020 - Biden 47.6% Vs Trump 46.3% DIFFERENCE OF 1.3% 538 Wisconsin Nov. 3rd 2020 - Biden 52.1% vs Trump 43.7% DIFFERENCE OF 8.4% Actual Results - Wisconsin - Biden 49.4% vs Trump 48.8% DIFFERENCE OF .6% Included Wisconsin because it was the most unique however many (if not all) swing states had similar trends. This trend was also apparent in 2016 |
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Post by mikeman on Oct 22, 2024 3:15:08 GMT
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