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Post by kolzer on Oct 31, 2024 18:57:28 GMT
Mike shes on a bump. Its all CIA theatre
Ive been saying for weeks best Trump value will be 9:35 est election nite. Bet DJT huge no matter what Madden/summerall are saying at that time. Goof headshot theatre final act
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Post by mikeman on Oct 31, 2024 19:04:30 GMT
They all have the same look.
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Post by mikeman on Oct 31, 2024 19:06:53 GMT
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Post by mikeman on Oct 31, 2024 19:10:05 GMT
Mike shes on a bump. Its all CIA theatre Ive been saying for weeks best Trump value will be 9:35 est election nite. Bet DJT huge no matter what Madden/summerall are saying at that time. Goof headshot theatre final act This is why the odds dropped, there are still people that respect nate silver, the guy's been exposed, he's a fraud, he puts out this crap and people go woa, kamalla looks like she's strong in MI and WI, etc, I guess this is a horserace. The only reason silvers numbers moved from a couple days ago is because CNN put out a poll that showed kamala ahead in Mi and WI, this is a feedback loop, a mirage. It's also why short term moves in betting markets mean nothing. |
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Post by mikeman on Oct 31, 2024 20:18:59 GMT
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Post by mikeman on Oct 31, 2024 20:52:29 GMT
Musk buggered the philly DA krasner, LOL.
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Post by kolzer on Oct 31, 2024 21:03:51 GMT
Praying even fox news starts saying "start worrying" tonite. My dream of Big Don +150 live still remains
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Post by fishhead24 on Oct 31, 2024 21:06:08 GMT
I told you several weeks ago i dont care about betting odds, they are susceptable to all kinds of factors that have nothing to do with the election, that smear about hitler comes out and they drop, then they go back up then the puerto rico things moves it again, now a couple fake polls come out and bettors panic again. It's nonsense. we're way too close to the election to focus on crap like that. I don't give a shit what you care about. LOL |
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Post by mikeman on Oct 31, 2024 21:07:04 GMT
Amish power baby!  |
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Post by mikeman on Oct 31, 2024 21:07:48 GMT
I don't give a shit what you care about. LOL Struck a nerve didn't I LOL. |
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wvu
Junior Member
Posts: 42
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Post by wvu on Oct 31, 2024 21:08:55 GMT
Oh what a time to be alive!
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Post by mikeman on Oct 31, 2024 21:21:10 GMT
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Post by mikeman on Oct 31, 2024 21:22:47 GMT
Oh what a time to be alive!  |
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Post by mikeman on Oct 31, 2024 21:33:44 GMT
Why the polls are all tied.
Because they'll be fired if they're too Trumpy and ruined if they're too Democratic (again).
So, they are hedging. It really is that simple.
CNN cut ties with their longtime pollster ORC for being too Trumpy, despite being more accurate.
ABC this year sidelined their long-time pollster not after his Biden +17 in 2020, but his Trump +10 in 2024. He now "overseas" a completely overhauled methodology.
There are many effects working on pollsters this year. Chilling and mirroring are two of them.
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